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What will be the outcome of the Israeli airstrikes on Hezbollah targets in southern Beirut by October 31, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Significant Hezbollah infrastructure destroyed • 25%
Minimal damage to Hezbollah infrastructure • 25%
Civilian casualties reported • 25%
No significant outcomes reported • 25%
Verified news reports from reputable sources such as Reuters, BBC, or Al Jazeera
Story
Israeli Military Orders Evacuation in Southern Beirut Amid Imminent Strikes on Hezbollah Targets
Sep 30, 2024, 08:02 PM
The Israeli military has issued urgent evacuation orders to residents in several areas of southern Beirut suburbs, including Laylaki, Haret Hreik, and Burj Al-Barajneh, due to imminent strikes targeting Hezbollah sites. The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) have also called on residents of border towns in southern Lebanon to evacuate. The warnings come amid heightened tensions and potential military actions against Hezbollah targets in these regions.
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Significant damage to Hezbollah • 25%
Minimal damage to Hezbollah • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Hezbollah retaliates effectively • 25%
Minimal damage reported • 25%
Moderate damage reported • 25%
Severe damage reported • 25%
Hezbollah leadership targeted • 25%
Hezbollah's capabilities significantly reduced • 25%
Hezbollah's capabilities moderately reduced • 25%
Hezbollah's capabilities remain largely intact • 25%
Hezbollah's capabilities increased • 25%
Nasrallah killed • 25%
Nasrallah injured • 25%
Nasrallah unharmed • 25%
Outcome unclear • 25%
Significant weakening of Hezbollah • 25%
No significant impact on Hezbollah • 25%
Hezbollah retaliates with significant force • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
High-ranking militant killed • 25%
Civilian casualties • 25%
No significant casualties • 25%
Other • 25%
Significant reduction in Hezbollah attacks • 25%
No change in Hezbollah attacks • 25%
Increase in Hezbollah attacks • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Nasrallah confirmed dead • 25%
Nasrallah confirmed injured • 25%
Nasrallah confirmed uninjured • 25%
No confirmation • 25%
Successful with no civilian casualties • 25%
Successful with civilian casualties • 25%
Unsuccessful • 25%
No airstrikes carried out • 25%
Hezbollah suffers significant losses • 25%
Hezbollah suffers moderate losses • 25%
Hezbollah suffers minimal losses • 25%
Hezbollah suffers no losses • 25%
Limited airstrikes only • 25%
Ground invasion • 25%
Both airstrikes and ground invasion • 25%
No significant military response • 25%
Minimal damage to Hezbollah • 25%
Moderate damage to Hezbollah • 25%
Significant damage to Hezbollah • 25%
Hezbollah infrastructure destroyed • 25%