Loading...
Market
What will be the outcome of the international investigation into the Crimea missile strike?
4
Russian Ministry of Defense•United States•Sevastopol•Crimea•Russian Defense Ministry•American ATACMS•Ministry•Washington•Kyiv•Crimean
Resolution / Starting Odds
U.S. responsible • 25%
Ukraine responsible • 25%
Russia responsible • 25%
Other • 25%
Official report from the investigating body
Story
Russia Accuses U.S. of Responsibility in Deadly Crimea Missile Strike: Five Dead, 120 Wounded
Jun 23, 2024, 03:48 PM
The Russian Ministry of Defense has accused the United States of being responsible for a missile attack on civilians in Sevastopol, Crimea. The attack, which used U.S.-supplied ATACMS missiles, resulted in the deaths of at least five people, including two children, and left 120 wounded. The Russian Defense Ministry stated that all flight missions for the American ATACMS missiles are entered by U.S. specialists. The Ministry also claimed that Washington and Kyiv bore responsibility for what it described as a deliberate missile strike on peaceful residents at a Crimean beach.
View original story
Similar markets
US involvement confirmed • 33%
US involvement not confirmed • 33%
No conclusion reached • 33%
ICBM confirmed • 25%
Different missile type confirmed • 25%
Inconclusive results • 25%
No investigation • 25%
Ukraine held responsible • 33%
Russia held responsible • 33%
No conclusive evidence • 34%
Ukraine found responsible • 33%
US found complicit • 33%
Other outcomes • 34%
Ukrainian forces responsible • 25%
Russian forces responsible • 25%
Other forces responsible • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Ukraine found guilty • 25%
Ukraine found not guilty • 25%
Inconclusive findings • 25%
No investigation conducted • 25%
Confirmed Russian military target • 25%
Confirmed civilian target • 25%
Mixed target • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Confirmed Russian responsibility • 25%
Inconclusive findings • 25%
Alternative perpetrator identified • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
Ukraine admits responsibility • 33%
Ukraine denies responsibility, blames malfunction • 33%
Russia blames Ukraine, no admission • 33%
Confirmed North Korean missile • 25%
Confirmed Russian missile • 25%
Joint operation by Russia and North Korea • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
New evidence implicates additional individuals • 25%
New evidence exonerates one or more convicted individuals • 25%
No new evidence found • 25%
Investigation remains inconclusive • 25%