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What will be the outcome of Ukraine's investigation into the November 2024 missile strike?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
ICBM confirmed • 25%
Different missile type confirmed • 25%
Inconclusive results • 25%
No investigation • 25%
Ukrainian government reports or press releases
Story
Western Official Denies Russia Used ICBM Against Ukraine on Thursday
Nov 21, 2024, 02:45 PM
A Western official has informed ABC News that Russia did not use an intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) against Ukraine last night, contradicting earlier statements from Ukraine's Air Force. The official clarified that a ballistic missile was used, but declined to provide further details, noting that the impact is still being assessed. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy confirmed that Russia used a new missile, suggesting it was an ICBM, but experts are still reviewing the evidence. The initial analysis was reported on Thursday by Reuters.
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Ukrainian forces responsible • 25%
Russian forces responsible • 25%
Other forces responsible • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
U.S. responsible • 25%
Ukraine responsible • 25%
Russia responsible • 25%
Other • 25%
Confirmed Russian military target • 25%
Confirmed civilian target • 25%
Mixed target • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Confirmed Russian responsibility • 25%
Inconclusive findings • 25%
Alternative perpetrator identified • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
Ukraine held responsible • 33%
Russia held responsible • 33%
No conclusive evidence • 34%
Ukraine admits responsibility • 33%
Ukraine denies responsibility, blames malfunction • 33%
Russia blames Ukraine, no admission • 33%
Confirmed as intentional strike • 25%
Confirmed as accidental strike • 25%
Inconclusive results • 25%
No investigation completed • 25%
Identified responsible parties • 25%
No conclusive findings • 25%
Ongoing investigation • 25%
Other • 25%
Confirmed North Korean missile • 25%
Confirmed Russian missile • 25%
Joint operation by Russia and North Korea • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Confirmed execution by Russian forces • 25%
Execution not confirmed • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Russia responsible • 25%
Ukraine responsible • 25%
Third party responsible • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Ukraine found responsible • 33%
US found complicit • 33%
Other outcomes • 34%