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What will be the outcome of the investigation into the Luhansk missile strike by November 4, 2024?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ukrainian forces responsible • 25%
Russian forces responsible • 25%
Other forces responsible • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Official military investigation reports, verified news reports from credible sources
Story
Explosions Reported in Occupied Luhansk Amid Speculation of Ukrainian Missile Strike on Military Base
Aug 4, 2024, 01:34 PM
A series of powerful explosions have been reported in occupied Luhansk, a region in eastern Ukraine currently controlled by Russian forces. Initial reports suggest that the explosions occurred at a Russian military base. Locals reported missile strikes, and some sources speculate that Ukrainian forces used Storm Shadow missiles in the attack, although this has not been confirmed. Additionally, it is reported that the Ukrainian Armed Forces fired 12 Western-made missiles, including eight ATACMS and four Storm Shadows, at Luhansk. Air defense forces managed to shoot down four of these missiles before they reached their target.
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Russia held responsible • 33%
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ICBM confirmed • 25%
Different missile type confirmed • 25%
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Other • 25%
Belarusian fault • 25%
Russian fault • 25%
Technical malfunction • 25%
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Russia held responsible • 25%
Ukraine held responsible • 25%
Third party held responsible • 25%
No conclusive result • 25%
Russia responsible • 25%
Ukraine responsible • 25%
Third party responsible • 25%
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