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What will be the outcome of investigations into the Crimea attack?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
US involvement confirmed • 33%
US involvement not confirmed • 33%
No conclusion reached • 33%
Reports from international investigative bodies such as the UN or NATO
Story
Pentagon: Ukraine Makes Own Targeting Decisions Amid Crimea Attack with ATACMS Missiles
Jun 24, 2024, 03:36 PM
The Pentagon has stated that Ukraine makes its own targeting decisions following Russia's direct blame on the United States for an attack on Crimea. Russia claims the attack, which killed at least four people and injured 151, was carried out using US-supplied ATACMS missiles. A Pentagon spokesperson reiterated that Ukraine is responsible for its military operations and targeting decisions, although some sources argue that Ukraine cannot operate ATACMS without US assistance.
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U.S. responsible • 25%
Ukraine responsible • 25%
Russia responsible • 25%
Other • 25%
Ukraine found guilty • 25%
Ukraine found not guilty • 25%
Inconclusive findings • 25%
No investigation conducted • 25%
Confirmed • 25%
Not Confirmed • 25%
Debunked • 25%
No Conclusion • 25%
ICBM confirmed • 25%
Different missile type confirmed • 25%
Inconclusive results • 25%
No investigation • 25%
Ukraine held responsible • 33%
Russia held responsible • 33%
No conclusive evidence • 34%
FSB's claims substantiated • 25%
FSB's claims refuted • 25%
Inconclusive findings • 25%
No investigation conducted • 25%
Ukraine found responsible • 33%
US found complicit • 33%
Other outcomes • 34%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Increased sanctions on Russia • 25%
Military aid to Ukraine • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Indictments issued against Russian soldiers • 25%
International condemnation but no indictments • 25%
No significant action taken • 25%
Other • 25%
Russia's claims verified • 25%
Ukraine's innocence confirmed • 25%
Inconclusive results • 25%
No investigation conducted • 25%
Confirmed Foreign Involvement • 25%
Lack of Evidence • 25%
Disputed Findings • 25%
No Investigation • 25%