Loading...
Market
What will be the outcome of the ceasefire by March 1, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ceasefire extended • 25%
Ceasefire ends without extension • 25%
Renewed hostilities • 25%
Permanent peace agreement • 25%
Official statements from the governments of Israel and Hamas, verified by international news agencies
Story
Qatar Announces Ceasefire Between Hamas and Israel to Start at 8:30 a.m. Sunday, Exchanging 33 Hostages for 737 Prisoners
Jan 18, 2025, 03:37 PM
A ceasefire between Hamas and Israel, mediated by Qatar, is set to go into effect on Sunday at 8:30 a.m. local time in Gaza, which is 0630 GMT. This agreement aims to pause the 15-month conflict, marking a step toward ending the deadliest and most destructive fighting between the two sides. The ceasefire's first phase will last 42 days, during which 33 hostages held in Gaza are scheduled to be released over six weeks in exchange for 737 Palestinian prisoners held by Israel. The exchange is set to begin at 4 p.m. local time on Sunday. Israeli troops are expected to pull back into a buffer zone inside Gaza, allowing displaced Palestinians to return to their homes. Additionally, the ceasefire will facilitate a surge in humanitarian aid to the region, with preparations underway at the Rafah border crossing to deliver aid and evacuate wounded patients.
View original story
Similar markets
Hezbollah withdraws • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
Israel takes military action • 25%
New ceasefire agreement • 25%
Ceasefire holds • 25%
Ceasefire renegotiated • 25%
Ceasefire extended • 25%
Ceasefire breaks • 25%
Ceasefire rejected • 25%
Ceasefire approved • 25%
Stalemate continues • 25%
Ceasefire renegotiated • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Ceasefire talks continue without agreement • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire talks collapse • 25%
Israel resumes fighting • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Hostage agreement fulfilled • 25%
Ceasefire continues • 25%
Agreement on extension • 25%
Ceasefire breakdown • 25%
New terms negotiated • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Agreement delayed • 25%
Agreement signed and implemented • 25%
Agreement not signed • 25%
Agreement signed but not implemented • 25%
Successful implementation • 25%
Partial implementation • 25%
Ceasefire broken • 25%
Failed implementation • 25%
No withdrawal or disarmament • 25%
Hezbollah withdraws and disarms • 25%
Partial withdrawal or disarmament • 25%
Ceasefire agreement collapses • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Permanent ceasefire agreement • 25%
Breakdown of negotiations • 25%
Extension of current ceasefire • 25%
Ceasefire broken • 25%
Ceasefire holds • 25%
Extended negotiations • 25%
Other outcome • 25%