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What will be the outcome of the ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ceasefire holds • 25%
Ceasefire breaks • 25%
Ceasefire extended • 25%
Ceasefire renegotiated • 25%
Official statements from both parties or credible news agencies
Story
Macron Announces Release of Two French-Israeli Hostages Among 33 on Sunday as Part of Ceasefire Agreement
Jan 17, 2025, 10:42 AM
French President Emmanuel Macron has announced that two French-Israeli hostages, Ofer Kalderon and Ohad Yahalomi, are included in the list of 33 hostages set to be released by Hamas in the first phase of a ceasefire agreement with Israel. The release is scheduled for Sunday, as part of a broader deal that aims to facilitate the release of hostages in exchange for Palestinian prisoners. The ceasefire is expected to begin on Sunday, marking a significant step towards de-escalation in the region.
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New ceasefire agreement • 25%
Israel takes military action • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
Hezbollah withdraws • 25%
Stalemate continues • 25%
Ceasefire rejected • 25%
Ceasefire renegotiated • 25%
Ceasefire approved • 25%
Ceasefire agreement collapses • 25%
Hezbollah withdraws and disarms • 25%
Partial withdrawal or disarmament • 25%
No withdrawal or disarmament • 25%
Failed implementation • 25%
Ceasefire broken • 25%
Successful implementation • 25%
Partial implementation • 25%
Agreement signed and implemented • 25%
Agreement delayed • 25%
Agreement not signed • 25%
Agreement signed but not implemented • 25%
New terms negotiated • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Ceasefire breakdown • 25%
Agreement on extension • 25%
Not implemented • 25%
Agreement dissolved • 25%
Fully implemented • 25%
Partially implemented • 25%
Breakdown of negotiations • 25%
Permanent ceasefire agreement • 25%
Extension of current ceasefire • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ceasefire holds • 25%
Ceasefire broken • 25%
Extended negotiations • 25%
Other outcome • 25%