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What will be the outcome of the phase two ceasefire negotiations by February 26, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Permanent ceasefire agreement • 25%
Extension of current ceasefire • 25%
Breakdown of negotiations • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official announcements by negotiating parties or verified news sources
Story
Biden Announces Israel to Negotiate Ceasefire Phase Two for Permanent End to War Over Next Six Weeks
Jan 15, 2025, 07:09 PM
President Joe Biden announced that Israel will engage in negotiations over the next six weeks to transition to the second phase of a ceasefire agreement, which aims for a permanent end to the war. Biden emphasized that the ceasefire will continue beyond the initial 42 days as long as the negotiations for phase two are ongoing. This plan was detailed by Biden, indicating a structured approach to achieving a lasting peace in the region.
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Ceasefire renegotiated • 25%
Ceasefire approved • 25%
Stalemate continues • 25%
Ceasefire rejected • 25%
Some hostages released • 25%
Hostage negotiations fail • 25%
No hostages released • 25%
All hostages released • 25%
New ceasefire agreement • 25%
Israel takes military action • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
Hezbollah withdraws • 25%
Agreement on extension • 25%
Ceasefire breakdown • 25%
New terms negotiated • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Failed implementation • 25%
Partial implementation • 25%
Ceasefire broken • 25%
Successful implementation • 25%
Approved by both parties • 25%
Rejected by Israel • 25%
Rejected by Hamas • 25%
Rejected by both parties • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Ceasefire rejected • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ceasefire agreed • 25%
Agreement signed but not implemented • 25%
Agreement signed and implemented • 25%
Agreement delayed • 25%
Agreement not signed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Extended negotiations • 25%
Ceasefire holds • 25%
Ceasefire broken • 25%
Full agreement reached • 25%
Partial agreement reached • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Talks collapse • 25%
