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What will be the outcome of Libya's diplomatic engagement with Syria by the end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Security agreement • 25%
Energy cooperation • 25%
Both security and energy agreements • 25%
No major agreements • 25%
Official statements from Libyan and Syrian governments or credible news reports
Story
Libyan Delegation Led by Waleed Al-Laafi Arrives in Damascus on December 28 for First Official Visit Since Assad's Fall
Dec 28, 2024, 11:07 AM
A high-level delegation from Libya's National Unity Government, led by Minister of State for Communication and Political Affairs Waleed Al-Laafi, arrived in Damascus on December 28, 2024, marking the first official visit since the fall of the previous Syrian regime. The delegation included the Minister of Labor and Rehabilitation, Ali Al-Abed, and the Director of Military Intelligence. Upon arrival, they met with Ahmed Al-Sharaa, the head of the new Syrian administration, to discuss various aspects of cooperation, particularly in security and energy sectors. Al-Laafi expressed full support for the Syrian people and their new leadership during this transitional phase and announced plans to appoint a permanent ambassador to Syria. The visit is seen as a step towards strengthening bilateral relations between Libya and Syria.
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Military cooperation • 25%
Formal diplomatic relations established • 25%
Humanitarian aid agreement • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Formal agreement signed • 25%
Maintained status quo • 25%
Improved relations with EU • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Further isolated • 25%
Diplomatic stalemate • 25%
Iran increases presence • 25%
Iran maintains current stance • 25%
Iran reduces presence • 25%
Stalemate with no significant progress • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Deterioration in relations • 25%
Successful political transition • 25%
Relations worsen significantly • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Relations improve significantly • 25%
Relations remain tense • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Weakened relations • 25%
Diplomatic fallout • 25%
No change • 25%
Strengthened relations • 25%
United Kingdom • 25%
France • 25%
Other • 25%
Germany • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
No progress • 25%
Peace talks initiated • 25%
Other diplomatic outcomes • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Other • 25%
Establishment of relations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Stable government formed • 25%
Ongoing political instability • 25%
Return of Assad's regime • 25%