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What will be the outcome of Syria-Israel diplomatic engagements by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Peace talks initiated • 25%
No progress • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Other diplomatic outcomes • 25%
Official statements from the governments of Syria and Israel or reports from international news agencies
Story
Damascus Governor Maher Marwan Calls for Peace with Israel, Seeks US Mediation
Dec 27, 2024, 07:59 AM
Maher Marwan, the newly appointed governor of Damascus, has expressed a desire for peaceful relations with Israel, stating that the new Syrian government under the leadership of Ahmed al-Sharaa seeks coexistence rather than conflict. In an interview with NPR, Marwan conveyed that the Syrian administration does not intend to threaten Israel's security and emphasized a willingness for peace. He acknowledged initial fears from Israel following the fall of Bashar al-Assad's regime as 'natural' and mentioned that such fears led to limited military actions by Israel. Marwan also called on the United States to play a role in facilitating better relations between Syria and Israel. This shift in rhetoric comes as the new Syrian leadership, led by Abu Mohammad al-Julani, aims to establish its international legitimacy post the rapid overthrow of Assad's government.
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Status quo maintained • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Establishment of relations • 25%
Other • 25%
Formal diplomatic relations established • 25%
Informal relations improved • 25%
Relations remain the same • 25%
Relations worsen • 25%
Israel withdraws • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Continued occupation • 25%
New security agreement reached • 25%
Other • 25%
Continued tensions without escalation • 25%
Increased military actions • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Talks fail • 25%
Talks postponed • 25%
No talks held • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
Mediation Efforts Initiated • 25%
No Significant Action • 25%
Resolution Passed Condemning Israel • 25%
Other • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Complete withdrawal by Israel • 25%
Partial withdrawal by Israel • 25%
No withdrawal by Israel • 25%
Humanitarian aid • 25%
Trade agreement • 25%
Security cooperation • 25%
Border dispute resolution • 25%
Other changes • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
No progress • 25%
Successful peace talks initiated • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Full agreement reached • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Partial agreement reached • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%