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What will be the outcome of Grenell's envoy role by June 30, 2025?
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Donald Trump•Richard Grenell•National Intelligence•Germany•Grenell•Europe•Serbia•Kosovo•Ukraine•NATO•Berlin•Trump
Resolution / Starting Odds
Successful peace negotiations • 25%
Stalemate with no progress • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Grenell not appointed • 25%
Official statements from the White House or diplomatic outcomes reported by major news outlets
Story
Trump May Appoint Ex-Intel Chief Grenell, Opponent of Ukraine's NATO Bid, as Envoy
Nov 23, 2024, 08:21 AM
President-elect Donald Trump is considering appointing Richard Grenell, his former Director of National Intelligence and U.S. Ambassador to Germany, as a special envoy for the Russia-Ukraine conflict, according to multiple sources. Grenell, known for his diplomatic experience in Europe including mediating peace negotiations between Serbia and Kosovo, has proposed solutions such as the creation of 'autonomous zones' within Ukraine and has opposed Ukraine's admission to NATO. During his tenure in Germany, he took a strong stance against the Nord Stream 2 pipeline and faced political isolation in Berlin. The potential appointment signals Trump's intention to push for an end to the conflict.
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Successful agreement reached • 25%
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Grenell replaced • 25%
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