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What will be the first major policy change announced by Richard Grenell if appointed as envoy by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Sanctions increase • 25%
Diplomatic engagement • 25%
Military strategy • 25%
Other policy change • 25%
Official announcements or credible news reports
Story
Trump Considers Former Intelligence Chief Richard Grenell for Iran Envoy Role
Dec 12, 2024, 02:17 AM
President-elect Donald Trump is reportedly considering appointing Richard Grenell, his former intelligence chief and ex-U.S. Ambassador to Germany, as a special envoy for Iran. This consideration comes from sources familiar with the transition plans, although no final decisions have been made on personnel or strategy regarding Iran. Grenell's potential role would involve handling U.S. policy towards Iran, a position of significant importance given the current geopolitical climate.
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Another country • 25%
Venezuela • 25%
North Korea • 25%
No mission by this date • 25%
No mission conducted • 25%
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Talks initiated but no agreement • 25%
Mission aborted • 25%
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Appointed as envoy • 25%
Position remains unfilled • 25%
Not appointed to any role • 25%
Appointed to another role • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Other • 25%
No official role • 25%
Another diplomatic role • 25%
Special envoy for Iran • 25%
Negative impact • 25%
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Moderate improvement • 25%
Focus on diplomacy • 25%
Focus on military options • 25%
Focus on human rights • 25%
Focus on sanctions • 25%