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What will be the outcome of Richard Grenell's potential appointment as special envoy to Ukraine by December 31, 2024?
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Donald Trump•Richard Grenell•National Intelligence•Ukraine•Reuters•Grenell•NATO•Germany•Serbia•Kosovo•Trump•European
Resolution / Starting Odds
Appointed and active • 25%
Appointed but not active • 25%
Not appointed • 25%
Appointed and resigned • 25%
Official announcements from the involved parties and international news coverage
Story
Trump Considers Richard Grenell for Ukraine Envoy Role Amid Peace Plan for Autonomous Zones
Nov 23, 2024, 02:03 AM
Former U.S. President Donald Trump is reportedly considering Richard Grenell, the former Director of National Intelligence, for the position of special envoy to Ukraine. According to sources cited by Reuters, Grenell's potential appointment is aimed at facilitating peace in the ongoing conflict in Ukraine. Grenell has previously proposed a peace plan that includes the establishment of 'autonomous zones' in Ukraine and has expressed opposition to Ukraine's NATO membership. His experience includes serving as the U.S. Ambassador to Germany and as a special envoy for negotiations between Serbia and Kosovo during Trump's first administration, where he developed a strong understanding of European affairs.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Successful peace negotiations • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Grenell replaced • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Conflict continues without resolution • 25%
Grenell is replaced or resigns • 25%
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Successful peace negotiations • 25%
Stalemate with no progress • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Grenell not appointed • 25%
Successful agreement reached • 25%
Talks initiated but no agreement • 25%
Mission aborted • 25%
No mission conducted • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Appointed as envoy • 25%
Not appointed, remains in another role • 25%
Not appointed, exits government service • 25%
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Appointed • 33%
Proposal rejected • 33%
No decision by deadline • 34%
Sanctions increase • 25%
Diplomatic engagement • 25%
Military strategy • 25%
Other policy change • 25%