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Will Richard Grenell propose 'autonomous zones' in Ukraine by Mar 31, 2025?
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Donald Trump•Richard Grenell•National Intelligence•Germany•Grenell•Europe•Serbia•Kosovo•Ukraine•NATO•Berlin•Trump
Resolution / Starting Odds
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No • 50%
Reports from official diplomatic meetings or announcements covered by major news outlets such as CNN, BBC, or The Guardian
Story
Trump May Appoint Ex-Intel Chief Grenell, Opponent of Ukraine's NATO Bid, as Envoy
Nov 23, 2024, 08:21 AM
President-elect Donald Trump is considering appointing Richard Grenell, his former Director of National Intelligence and U.S. Ambassador to Germany, as a special envoy for the Russia-Ukraine conflict, according to multiple sources. Grenell, known for his diplomatic experience in Europe including mediating peace negotiations between Serbia and Kosovo, has proposed solutions such as the creation of 'autonomous zones' within Ukraine and has opposed Ukraine's admission to NATO. During his tenure in Germany, he took a strong stance against the Nord Stream 2 pipeline and faced political isolation in Berlin. The potential appointment signals Trump's intention to push for an end to the conflict.
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Appointed and active • 25%
Appointed but not active • 25%
Not appointed • 25%
Appointed and resigned • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Conflict continues without resolution • 25%
Grenell is replaced or resigns • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Successful peace negotiations • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Grenell replaced • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Strained relations • 25%
Unclear impact • 25%