Loading...
Market
What will be the outcome of Richard Grenell's first diplomatic mission by September 30, 2025?
2
Donald Trump•Richard Grenell•Special Missions•Trump•Venezuela•North Korea•Grenell•Germany•National Intelligence
Resolution / Starting Odds
Successful agreement reached • 25%
Talks initiated but no agreement • 25%
Mission aborted • 25%
No mission conducted • 25%
Official reports from the U.S. government and involved countries
Story
Trump Appoints Richard Grenell Envoy for Missions in Venezuela and North Korea
Dec 15, 2024, 12:43 AM
President-elect Donald Trump has announced the appointment of Richard Grenell as Presidential Envoy for Special Missions. According to Trump's statement, "Ric will serve in the hottest spots around the world, including Venezuela and North Korea." Grenell previously served as the U.S. Ambassador to Germany and Acting Director of National Intelligence during Trump's first term. His appointment underscores his extensive diplomatic experience and proven ability to advance U.S. interests in challenging international environments.
View original story
Similar markets
Successful peace negotiations • 25%
Stalemate with no progress • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Grenell not appointed • 25%
Peace Agreement Signed • 25%
Diplomatic Relations Improved • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Relations Deteriorate • 25%
Significant Positive Impact • 25%
Moderate Positive Impact • 25%
No Significant Impact • 25%
Negative Impact • 25%
Peace Agreement Signed • 25%
Diplomatic Relations Improved • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Relations Deteriorate • 25%
Sanctions increase • 25%
Diplomatic engagement • 25%
Military strategy • 25%
Other policy change • 25%
Appointed as envoy • 25%
Not appointed, remains in another role • 25%
Not appointed, exits government service • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Significant positive impact • 25%
Moderate impact • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Negative impact • 25%
Appointed and active • 25%
Appointed but not active • 25%
Not appointed • 25%
Appointed and resigned • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Conflict continues without resolution • 25%
Grenell is replaced or resigns • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Successful peace negotiations • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Grenell replaced • 25%
Denuclearization talks progress • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Increased military tensions • 25%
Other outcome • 25%