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Market
What will be the outcome of diplomatic measures between Russia and Ukraine regarding the missile attacks by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Increased sanctions on Russia • 25%
Increased military aid to Ukraine • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Official statements from the governments of Russia and Ukraine or international mediators
Story
Ukraine Launches Missile Attacks with 10 Jets on Bryansk Region, Causing Explosions with British Storm Shadow and ATACMS Missiles
Jan 13, 2025, 06:14 PM
Ukrainian forces have launched a series of missile attacks targeting the Bryansk region of Russia, utilizing British Storm Shadow and Neptune long-range missiles, as well as US-supplied MGM-140 ATACMS ballistic missiles. Reports indicate that 10 Ukrainian jets were involved in the assault, which has triggered air raid alarms and caused explosions in Bryansk. Russian monitoring channels have confirmed the missile launches and declared a missile threat in the region. The scale of the attacks remains unclear, but there is widespread panic reported in Crimea and Bryansk as the situation unfolds.
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Other • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Successful de-escalation • 25%
Other • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Increased hostilities • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Successful peace agreement • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Partial ceasefire agreement • 25%
Full ceasefire agreement • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
New sanctions imposed • 25%
De-escalation agreement • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Full peace treaty • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Escalation of tensions • 25%
No talks initiated • 25%
Talks initiated, but no agreement • 25%
Formal agreement reached • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
New sanctions on Russia • 25%
Increased military aid to Ukraine • 25%
No significant action • 25%
No retaliation • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
Cyber retaliation • 25%
Military retaliation • 25%
Missile intercepted or failed launch • 25%
Significant damage and casualties • 25%
Limited damage, no casualties • 25%
No missile strike • 25%
Continued military escalation • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Diplomatic stalemate • 25%
Significant Progress • 25%
Escalation • 25%
No Talks • 25%
Stalemate • 25%