Loading...
Market
What will be the outcome of Russia's retaliation against Ukraine by June 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Other • 25%
Analysis and reports from international relations experts and news outlets
Story
Medvedev Promises Retaliation for Assassination of Russia's Nuclear Troops Chief Kirillov
Dec 17, 2024, 01:02 PM
Dmitry Medvedev, Deputy Chairman of the Russian Security Council, has vowed retaliation against Ukraine's leadership following the assassination of Lieutenant General Igor Kirillov, head of Russia's Nuclear, Biological and Chemical Protection Troops. Kirillov and his aide were killed in an explosion in Moscow, caused by a bomb hidden in an electric scooter, which Russian authorities have described as a terrorist act. Medvedev accused Ukraine of carrying out cowardly and unacceptable strikes on peaceful cities, and warned that the military and political leadership of Ukraine would face imminent punishment for Kirillov's death.
View original story
Similar markets
Increased airstrikes in Ukraine • 25%
Cyberattacks on Ukrainian infrastructure • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Russia escalates military actions • 25%
Russia maintains current level of engagement • 25%
Russia deescalates military actions • 25%
Peace negotiations commence • 25%
Increased military conflict • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Peace negotiations initiated • 25%
Ukraine Victory • 25%
Russia Victory • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Ongoing Conflict • 25%
Ukrainian control • 25%
Russian control • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%
Full ceasefire agreement • 25%
Partial ceasefire agreement • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Military strike • 25%
Cyber attack • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
No retaliation • 25%
De-escalation and peace talks • 25%
Continued military stalemate • 25%
Escalation into broader conflict • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Airstrikes • 25%
Ground invasion • 25%
Cyber attacks • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Military strike • 25%
Cyber attack • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
No retaliation • 25%
Increased airstrikes on Ukrainian cities • 25%
Cyberattacks on Ukrainian infrastructure • 25%
Deployment of additional ground troops • 25%
Other forms of retaliation • 25%