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What will be the outcome of Russia's commitment to retaliate against Ukraine by June 30, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Military retaliation • 25%
Cyber retaliation • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
No retaliation • 25%
Official statements from the Russian Defense Ministry or verified reports from international news agencies
Story
Russian Defense Ministry Reports January 3 Missile Strike Attempt on Belgorod from Ukraine Using ATACMS
Jan 4, 2025, 12:44 PM
The Russian Defense Ministry reported an attempted missile strike on the Belgorod region from Ukraine on January 3, involving ATACMS missiles. In response, Russian officials emphasized that countermeasures would be taken against the actions of the Ukrainian regime, which is supported by the West. The ministry reaffirmed its commitment to retaliate against the targeting of Russian territory with American-made missiles launched from Ukraine.
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Stalemate • 25%
Other • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Increased airstrikes in Ukraine • 25%
Cyberattacks on Ukrainian infrastructure • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Cyberattacks • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Military action • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
Military strike • 25%
Cyber attack • 25%
No retaliation • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Missile attack on Kyiv • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Increased cyber attacks • 25%
Cyber attack • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
No retaliation • 25%
Military strike • 25%
Other forms of retaliation • 25%
Deployment of additional ground troops • 25%
Cyberattacks on Ukrainian infrastructure • 25%
Increased airstrikes on Ukrainian cities • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Partial ceasefire agreement • 25%
Full ceasefire agreement • 25%
Mediation attempts • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Sanctions on Russia • 25%
Peace negotiations commence • 25%
Russia maintains current level of engagement • 25%
Russia escalates military actions • 25%
Russia deescalates military actions • 25%
