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What will be the impact of the missile attacks on Russia's domestic policy by April 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased military spending • 25%
Increased security measures in border regions • 25%
Public protests or unrest • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Reports from credible news agencies such as BBC, CNN, or Reuters; official Russian government announcements
Story
Ukraine Launches Missile Attacks with 10 Jets on Bryansk Region, Causing Explosions with British Storm Shadow and ATACMS Missiles
Jan 13, 2025, 06:14 PM
Ukrainian forces have launched a series of missile attacks targeting the Bryansk region of Russia, utilizing British Storm Shadow and Neptune long-range missiles, as well as US-supplied MGM-140 ATACMS ballistic missiles. Reports indicate that 10 Ukrainian jets were involved in the assault, which has triggered air raid alarms and caused explosions in Bryansk. Russian monitoring channels have confirmed the missile launches and declared a missile threat in the region. The scale of the attacks remains unclear, but there is widespread panic reported in Crimea and Bryansk as the situation unfolds.
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No noticeable impact • 25%
Moderate economic impact • 25%
Minor economic impact • 25%
Significant economic downturn • 25%
Mediation efforts initiated • 25%
Increased sanctions on Russia • 25%
Formal condemnations without further action • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Increased military aid to Ukraine • 25%
New sanctions on Russia • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Limited damage, no casualties • 25%
Missile intercepted or failed launch • 25%
No missile strike • 25%
Significant damage and casualties • 25%
Military Strike • 25%
Diplomatic Measures • 25%
Economic Sanctions • 25%
Cyber Attack • 25%
Military support to Ukraine • 25%
Other • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Condemnation without action • 25%
No significant change in response • 25%
Increased sanctions on Russia • 25%
Diplomatic resolutions pursued • 25%
Military support to Ukraine increased • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
Increased military action in Ukraine • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Decreased military presence • 25%
Change in strategic focus • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Significant damage • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Minimal damage • 25%
Moderate damage • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Russia increases involvement • 25%
Russia reduces involvement • 25%