Loading...
Market
What will be the outcome of China's military drills around Taiwan by end of 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased tensions but no military conflict • 25%
Formal diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
Military conflict initiated • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Reports from credible news agencies and official government statements
Story
China Deploys 125 Warplanes, 34 Ships in Military Drill Around Taiwan
Oct 14, 2024, 01:37 PM
China has deployed a record 125 warplanes and 34 ships in a large-scale military drill around Taiwan. The exercise, reported by GlobalNational, is seen as a warning to Taiwan and has drawn concern from the United States. The drills are aimed at deterring separatist forces in Taiwan, according to Chinese officials.
View original story
Similar markets
Increased military tension • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased tensions with Taiwan • 25%
Improved military capabilities • 25%
International diplomatic backlash • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
De-escalation and cessation of drills • 25%
Continuation with no further escalation • 25%
Increased military presence by China • 25%
Direct military conflict initiated • 25%
Exercises conclude peacefully • 25%
Increased military tension • 25%
Formal diplomatic protests • 25%
Other • 25%
De-escalation and withdrawal of forces • 25%
Continued military presence without escalation • 25%
Escalation leading to military conflict • 25%
Diplomatic resolution without military change • 25%
De-escalation • 25%
Continued military presence • 25%
Increased military activity • 25%
Other • 25%
De-escalation and withdrawal • 25%
Continued military standoff • 25%
Increased military engagement • 25%
Formal negotiations initiated • 25%
Condemnation by major powers • 25%
Economic sanctions imposed • 25%
Military alliance support for Taiwan • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
De-escalation • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Military conflict • 25%
De-escalation and withdrawal • 25%
Continued military presence • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Military conflict initiation • 25%