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Will Taiwan request military assistance from the U.S. following China's drills by January 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from the Taiwanese government or U.S. Department of Defense
Story
China Deploys 125 Warplanes, 34 Ships in Military Drill Around Taiwan
Oct 14, 2024, 01:37 PM
China has deployed a record 125 warplanes and 34 ships in a large-scale military drill around Taiwan. The exercise, reported by GlobalNational, is seen as a warning to Taiwan and has drawn concern from the United States. The drills are aimed at deterring separatist forces in Taiwan, according to Chinese officials.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Diplomatic protests only • 25%
Increased military readiness • 25%
Formal alliance request • 25%
Direct military engagement • 25%
Increased military drills • 25%
Enhancement of defense infrastructure • 25%
Diplomatic engagement with US allies • 25%
Other • 25%