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What will be the international reaction to China's military drills near Taiwan by May 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Condemnation by the U.S. • 25%
Condemnation by the EU • 25%
Condemnation by ASEAN • 25%
No major international reaction • 25%
Statements from international organizations or major countries, or credible news reports
Story
China Claims Sole Authority Over Military Drills Near Taiwan as 90 Ships Deploy, Emergency Response Center Closes
Dec 13, 2024, 10:20 AM
China has asserted its authority over military maneuvers near Taiwan, stating that it is 'solely responsible' for deciding such actions. This declaration comes as Taiwan has lowered its alert level following a period of heightened military activity from China, which included the deployment of nine Chinese coast guard vessels that have since left the area. Taiwan's Defense Ministry confirmed the closure of an emergency response center established in response to the drills, indicating a shift towards normalcy while still monitoring Chinese military movements. Experts suggest that China's recent strategy involves conducting large-scale drills without overt announcements to normalize its military presence and signal its readiness to act. The situation remains tense, with Taiwan's military maintaining control over the surrounding airspace and waters amid ongoing U.S. surveillance, including the recent transit of a U.S. P-8 plane through the Taiwan Strait.
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Condemnation by major powers • 25%
Economic sanctions imposed • 25%
Military alliance support for Taiwan • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
UN Condemnation • 25%
US Sanctions • 25%
Joint Military Exercises with Taiwan • 25%
No Significant Response • 25%
Condemnation and sanctions • 25%
Calls for diplomatic talks • 25%
Increased military presence in region • 25%
No significant action • 25%
UN sanctions • 25%
US military support to Taiwan • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation only • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Call for dialogue • 25%
Sanctions • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Condemnation by UN • 25%
Increased military presence by U.S. allies • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Condemnation from UN • 25%
Joint military drills with Taiwan • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No significant response • 25%
De-escalation and cessation of drills • 25%
Continuation with no further escalation • 25%
Increased military presence by China • 25%
Direct military conflict initiated • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Military deterrence • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Diplomatic protests only • 25%
Increased military readiness • 25%
Formal alliance request • 25%
Direct military engagement • 25%
Condemnation by major international bodies • 25%
Sanctions imposed on China • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
U.S. increases military presence in the region • 25%
EU issues a formal condemnation • 25%
ASEAN countries call for diplomatic talks • 25%
Other responses • 25%