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What will be the international response to China's military exercises around Taiwan by the end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
UN sanctions • 25%
US military support to Taiwan • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation only • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Official statements from the United Nations, United States, European Union, or other major international entities
Story
Xi Jinping Orders Full Combat Alert After China-Russia Drills and Simulated Taiwan Blockade
Oct 19, 2024, 05:04 PM
China has intensified its military readiness following a series of joint drills with Russia and military exercises around Taiwan. The China Coast Guard (CCG) completed joint patrol missions with Russia's coast guard and participated in drills simulating a blockade of Taiwan, deploying 17 ships, including a 12,000-ton vessel. The exercises involved practicing blockading Taiwanese ports and assaulting maritime and ground targets. President Xi Jinping, during a Thursday visit to a brigade of the People's Liberation Army's Rocket Force, including the DF-26 Brigade, called on the missile forces to enhance their deterrence capabilities and increase combat readiness. He ordered the naval and missile forces to be put on full combat alert and stressed the need to 'strengthen strategic deterrents and combat capabilities' to ensure readiness. Xi's call for heightened preparedness included instructing troops to 'strengthen training in preparation for war.' Taiwan's Foreign Ministry, in response to the drills, urged nations to recognize China's authoritarian and expansionist nature.
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Condemnation by major powers • 25%
Economic sanctions imposed • 25%
Military alliance support for Taiwan • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
UN Condemnation • 25%
US Sanctions • 25%
Joint Military Exercises with Taiwan • 25%
No Significant Response • 25%
Condemnation by UN • 25%
Increased military presence by U.S. allies • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
No significant response • 25%
U.S. increases military presence in the region • 25%
EU issues a formal condemnation • 25%
ASEAN countries call for diplomatic talks • 25%
Other responses • 25%
Condemnation by major international bodies • 25%
Sanctions imposed on China • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Condemnation from UN • 25%
Joint military drills with Taiwan • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Call for dialogue • 25%
Sanctions • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Military deterrence • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Condemnation by UN • 25%
Sanctions by Western countries • 25%
Diplomatic mediation efforts • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Condemnation by the U.S. • 25%
Condemnation by the EU • 25%
Condemnation by ASEAN • 25%
No major international reaction • 25%
Condemnation and sanctions • 25%
Calls for diplomatic talks • 25%
Increased military presence in region • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Issue condemnations • 25%
Impose sanctions • 25%
Military support for Taiwan • 25%
No significant response • 25%