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How will Taiwan respond to increased Chinese military activity by April 30, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased air patrols • 25%
Increased naval patrols • 25%
Diplomatic protest • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Taiwan's Defense Ministry announcements or credible news reports
Story
China Claims Sole Authority Over Military Drills Near Taiwan as 90 Ships Deploy, Emergency Response Center Closes
Dec 13, 2024, 10:20 AM
China has asserted its authority over military maneuvers near Taiwan, stating that it is 'solely responsible' for deciding such actions. This declaration comes as Taiwan has lowered its alert level following a period of heightened military activity from China, which included the deployment of nine Chinese coast guard vessels that have since left the area. Taiwan's Defense Ministry confirmed the closure of an emergency response center established in response to the drills, indicating a shift towards normalcy while still monitoring Chinese military movements. Experts suggest that China's recent strategy involves conducting large-scale drills without overt announcements to normalize its military presence and signal its readiness to act. The situation remains tense, with Taiwan's military maintaining control over the surrounding airspace and waters amid ongoing U.S. surveillance, including the recent transit of a U.S. P-8 plane through the Taiwan Strait.
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Increase own military drills • 25%
Seek international support • 25%
Issue diplomatic protests • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Increased military drills • 25%
Enhanced diplomatic efforts • 25%
Economic sanctions against China • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Increased military drills • 25%
Diplomatic engagement • 25%
International appeal for support • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Increased military drills • 25%
Procurement of new defense systems • 25%
Strengthening alliances with other nations • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Diplomatic protests only • 25%
Increased military readiness • 25%
Formal alliance request • 25%
Direct military engagement • 25%
Increase in military spending • 25%
Diplomatic efforts • 25%
Strengthening alliances • 25%
Other • 25%
Condemnation by UN • 25%
Increased military presence by U.S. allies • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Increase military readiness • 25%
Seek international support • 25%
Engage in diplomatic talks • 25%
Other • 25%
Increase military readiness • 25%
Seek international military support • 25%
Engage in direct military confrontation • 25%
No significant change in strategy • 25%
Increased military spending • 25%
Request for international military support • 25%
Strengthening of domestic defense • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Increase military readiness • 25%
Seek international support • 25%
Engage in diplomatic talks • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Military deterrence • 25%
No significant response • 25%