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What will be the international diplomatic response to China's military drills around Taiwan by the end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
UN Condemnation • 25%
US Sanctions • 25%
Joint Military Exercises with Taiwan • 25%
No Significant Response • 25%
Statements from the United Nations, US State Department, or other major international bodies
Story
China Launches Military Drills Around Taiwan and Outlying Islands as Stern Warning
Oct 14, 2024, 12:17 AM
China has launched large-scale military drills around Taiwan and its outlying islands, deploying planes and ships to encircle the island. According to Beijing's defense ministry, the exercises are designed to test the joint operational capabilities of the theater command's forces. The drills, which began on Monday, are intended as a stern warning to Taiwan's government to halt separatist acts. Taiwan's Ministry of National Defense has expressed strong condemnation for what it describes as irrational and provocative behavior. The exercises involve China's army, navy, air force, rocket forces, and coast guard. Chinese ships and aircraft are approaching Taiwan in close proximity from different directions, focusing on sea-air combat patrols and blockading key ports.
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Condemnation by major powers • 25%
Economic sanctions imposed • 25%
Military alliance support for Taiwan • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
UN sanctions • 25%
US military support to Taiwan • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation only • 25%
No significant response • 25%
U.S. increases military presence in the region • 25%
EU issues a formal condemnation • 25%
ASEAN countries call for diplomatic talks • 25%
Other responses • 25%
Condemnation by the U.S. • 25%
Condemnation by the EU • 25%
Condemnation by ASEAN • 25%
No major international reaction • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Call for dialogue • 25%
Sanctions • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Condemnation by UN • 25%
Increased military presence by U.S. allies • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Condemnation by major international bodies • 25%
Sanctions imposed on China • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Condemnation from UN • 25%
Joint military drills with Taiwan • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Military deterrence • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Increased tensions but no military conflict • 25%
Formal diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
Military conflict initiated • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Condemnation by UN • 25%
Sanctions by Western countries • 25%
Diplomatic mediation efforts • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Condemnation and sanctions • 25%
Calls for diplomatic talks • 25%
Increased military presence in region • 25%
No significant action • 25%