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How will Taiwan's defense policy change following China's military drills by the end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Increase in Defense Spending • 25%
New Defense Alliances • 25%
Strengthening Domestic Military Capabilities • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Official announcements from Taiwan's Ministry of National Defense
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China Launches Military Drills Around Taiwan and Outlying Islands as Stern Warning
Oct 14, 2024, 12:17 AM
China has launched large-scale military drills around Taiwan and its outlying islands, deploying planes and ships to encircle the island. According to Beijing's defense ministry, the exercises are designed to test the joint operational capabilities of the theater command's forces. The drills, which began on Monday, are intended as a stern warning to Taiwan's government to halt separatist acts. Taiwan's Ministry of National Defense has expressed strong condemnation for what it describes as irrational and provocative behavior. The exercises involve China's army, navy, air force, rocket forces, and coast guard. Chinese ships and aircraft are approaching Taiwan in close proximity from different directions, focusing on sea-air combat patrols and blockading key ports.
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Increase in defense spending • 25%
Strengthening of alliances • 25%
Military conscription policy changes • 25%
Other policy changes • 25%
Increase in defense budget • 25%
Strengthened alliances with other countries • 25%
Deployment of additional military assets • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Increased military drills • 25%
Procurement of new defense systems • 25%
Strengthening alliances with other nations • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Increase military readiness • 25%
Seek international support • 25%
Engage in diplomatic talks • 25%
Other • 25%
Strengthening ties with US • 25%
Strengthening ties with Japan • 25%
Strengthening ties with EU • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Increased tensions but no military conflict • 25%
Formal diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
Military conflict initiated • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Increased military spending • 25%
Request for international military support • 25%
Strengthening of domestic defense • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Increased military exercises by China • 25%
Diplomatic talks initiated • 25%
Economic sanctions imposed by China • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Diplomatic protests only • 25%
Increased military readiness • 25%
Formal alliance request • 25%
Direct military engagement • 25%
U.S. increases military presence in the region • 25%
EU issues a formal condemnation • 25%
ASEAN countries call for diplomatic talks • 25%
Other responses • 25%