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Market
What will be the impact on TikTok's user base in the US three months post-decision?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increase in users • 25%
Decrease in users • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Data not available • 25%
User statistics released by TikTok or independent market research reports
Story
Trump to Decide TikTok's Fate Following Congress's Delegation, Decision Imminent
Jan 17, 2025, 03:58 PM
Former President Donald Trump stated in a CNN interview that the decision regarding the future of the social media platform TikTok will be his to make. He did not disclose what his decision would be, but emphasized that the authority to decide has been given to him by Congress. Trump indicated that a decision on TikTok's fate would be forthcoming.
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Users stop using TikTok • 25%
Significant user migration to competitors • 25%
Users use VPNs to access TikTok • 25%
Other user behaviors • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Decrease in users • 25%
Increase in users • 25%
Data not available • 25%
User base remains stable • 25%
User base increases • 25%
User base decreases • 25%
TikTok exits U.S. market • 25%
User base stable • 25%
Platform banned • 25%
User base decreases • 25%
User base increases • 25%
No Change • 25%
Increase • 25%
Decrease • 25%
Other • 25%
Minor decrease (<25%) • 25%
Moderate decrease (25-50%) • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Significant decrease (>50%) • 25%
Platform inaccessible • 25%
User base increases • 25%
User base remains stable • 25%
User base decreases • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Decrease in users • 25%
Increase in users • 25%
Decrease by 20-50% • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Decrease by less than 20% • 25%
Decrease by over 50% • 25%
Decrease by over 50% • 25%
Decrease by less than 25% • 25%
Decrease by 25-50% • 25%
No significant change • 25%
User base remains stable • 25%
User base decreases • 25%
User base increases • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
Majority migrate to alternative platforms • 25%
No significant change in user behavior • 25%
Majority continue using TikTok despite restrictions • 25%
Significant decline in user engagement • 25%