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What will be China's response to Taiwan's missile drills by end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased military exercises by China • 25%
Diplomatic talks initiated • 25%
Economic sanctions imposed by China • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Official announcements from Taiwan's Ministry of National Defense, China's Ministry of National Defense, or credible news agencies
Story
Taiwan Conducts Missile Drills with Sky Bow III in Pingtung Amid China Tensions
Aug 20, 2024, 06:30 AM
Taiwan has demonstrated its missile capabilities by conducting live-fire drills at a sensitive test site on the island's southeastern coast, specifically in Pingtung. The exercises included the launch of surface-to-air missiles and were part of a broader strategy to enhance Taiwan's defense posture amid escalating tensions with China. The drills, which featured the Sky Bow III and US-made missiles, aimed to simulate the interception of enemy fighters and munitions. This move is seen as a response to China's increasing assertiveness in the region. Reporters were invited to witness the rare display of military strength at a highly classified R&D base, underscoring Taiwan's commitment to bolstering its combat effectiveness.
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Increase military readiness • 25%
Seek international support • 25%
Engage in diplomatic talks • 25%
Other • 25%
Condemnation by major powers • 25%
Economic sanctions imposed • 25%
Military alliance support for Taiwan • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Diplomatic protests only • 25%
Increased military readiness • 25%
Formal alliance request • 25%
Direct military engagement • 25%
U.S. increases military presence in the region • 25%
EU issues a formal condemnation • 25%
ASEAN countries call for diplomatic talks • 25%
Other responses • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Increased tensions but no military conflict • 25%
Formal diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
Military conflict initiated • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Increased military tension • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other • 25%
Increase own military drills • 25%
Seek international support • 25%
Issue diplomatic protests • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Increase military readiness • 25%
Seek international military support • 25%
Engage in direct military confrontation • 25%
No significant change in strategy • 25%
UN Condemnation • 25%
US Sanctions • 25%
Joint Military Exercises with Taiwan • 25%
No Significant Response • 25%
UN sanctions • 25%
US military support to Taiwan • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation only • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Diplomatic protests • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
No significant response • 25%