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What type of major agreement will be reached between the U.S. and Canada by the end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Trade agreement • 25%
Security agreement • 25%
Comprehensive economic integration • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Official announcements from the U.S. and Canadian governments
Story
Trudeau Rejects Trump's 'Economic Force' Proposal for Canada to Become 51st U.S. State Amid Resignation
Jan 7, 2025, 07:59 PM
Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau firmly rejected the notion of Canada becoming part of the United States, responding to comments made by U.S. President-elect Donald Trump. Trudeau stated on social media that 'there isn’t a snowball’s chance in hell that Canada would become part of the United States,' emphasizing the mutual benefits of the existing trade and security partnership between the two nations. This statement came in response to Trump's suggestion of using 'economic force' to integrate Canada as the 51st state, a proposal he has floated multiple times. Trudeau's remarks follow his announcement of resignation from the Liberal Party leadership and his position as prime minister, amid pressures from within his party and criticisms over his economic management.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Significant tariff reductions • 25%
Increased tariffs • 25%
No major changes • 25%
New trade agreement • 25%
No Major Change • 25%
Trade Policy • 25%
Security Policy • 25%
Immigration Policy • 25%
Trade agreement reached • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Tariffs imposed • 25%
No change • 25%
Increased tariffs • 25%
Reduced tariffs • 25%
New trade agreement • 25%
Ongoing negotiations • 25%
Successful agreement reached • 25%
No agreement, tariffs imposed • 25%
Negotiations stalled • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Trade tensions escalate • 25%
New trade agreement reached • 25%
Tariffs increased • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%