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Outcome of U.S.-Canada trade negotiations by Dec 3, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
New trade agreement reached • 25%
Tariffs increased • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Trade tensions escalate • 25%
Official trade agreements or negotiation outcomes announced by the U.S. or Canadian government
Story
Trump Jokes About Annexing Canada as 51st State During Mar-a-Lago Dinner with Trudeau
Dec 3, 2024, 12:24 AM
During a dinner meeting at Mar-a-Lago, President Donald Trump reportedly made a jesting remark to Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau. Trump suggested that if Canada couldn't survive without what he described as 'ripping off' the U.S. to the tune of $100 to $150 billion annually, then perhaps Canada should consider becoming the 51st state of the U.S., with Trudeau serving as its governor. This comment was made in the context of discussions about new tariffs that could potentially harm the Canadian economy.
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Status quo maintained • 25%
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Negotiations stalled • 25%
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