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What will be the outcome of Canada-U.S. trade negotiations by end of 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Successful agreement reached • 25%
No agreement, tariffs imposed • 25%
Ongoing negotiations • 25%
Negotiations stalled • 25%
Official trade agreements or announcements from either government
Story
Trudeau Commits to Address Fentanyl Crisis with Trump at Mar-a-Lago Summit
Nov 30, 2024, 06:18 PM
Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau met with former U.S. President Donald Trump in Florida to discuss critical issues including the fentanyl crisis and trade relations. Trump announced that Trudeau has committed to working with the United States to address the drug epidemic, which he attributes to the border crisis. The meeting, held at Mar-a-Lago, comes shortly after Trump threatened to impose a 25% tariff on Canadian imports if action wasn't taken on these issues. Both leaders described the meeting as productive, with Trump stating that Trudeau has agreed to tackle the fentanyl crisis, which has caused 'terrible devastation' to American families, and trade issues collaboratively.
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Deal reached excluding Mexico • 25%
Deal reached including Mexico • 25%
No deal reached • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Trade agreement reached • 25%
Tariffs imposed • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
New trade agreement reached • 25%
Tariffs increased • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Trade tensions escalate • 25%
U.S. imposes tariff • 25%
Canada agrees to new terms • 25%
Mutual agreement reached • 25%
Dispute unresolved • 25%
US imposes tariffs, no retaliation • 25%
US imposes tariffs, Canada retaliates • 25%
Tariffs not imposed, negotiations successful • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other developments • 25%
Improved • 25%
Worsened • 25%
Unchanged • 25%
New trade agreement • 25%
Tariffs imposed • 25%
Tariffs avoided with agreement • 25%
Temporary tariff suspension • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
New trade agreement reached • 25%
No agreement, tariffs remain • 25%
Tariffs reduced without new agreement • 25%
Trade tensions escalate • 25%
Tariffs implemented • 25%
Tariffs negotiated • 25%
Trade agreement revised • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Tariffs imposed • 25%
Tariffs avoided through agreement • 25%
Partial tariffs imposed • 25%
No resolution reached • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Significant trade conflict • 25%