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What will be the next major policy change affecting U.S.-Canada trade by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
New trade agreement • 25%
Increased tariffs • 25%
Reduced tariffs • 25%
No change • 25%
Official announcements from the U.S. or Canadian governments or reputable news sources
Story
Trudeau Dines with Trump at Mar-a-Lago Amid 25% Tariff Threat
Nov 30, 2024, 03:00 AM
On Friday night, Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau made an unannounced trip to Florida, where he dined with U.S. President-elect Donald Trump at his Mar-a-Lago estate. Trudeau's plane was spotted heading to West Palm Beach, fueling speculation about a meeting amid recent tariff threats. Earlier in the week, Trump had threatened to impose a 25% tariff on goods imported from Canada and Mexico, citing concerns over illegal immigration and drug smuggling. The two leaders discussed trade, border security, fentanyl, and the potential tariffs during their meeting. Following the dinner, Trudeau described the conversation as 'excellent', though specific details were not disclosed.
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Similar markets
Increased tariffs • 25%
Significant tariff reductions • 25%
No major changes • 25%
New trade agreement • 25%
Tariffs implemented • 25%
Tariffs negotiated • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Trade agreement revised • 25%
Security Policy • 25%
Trade Policy • 25%
No Major Change • 25%
Immigration Policy • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Trade tensions escalate • 25%
New trade agreement reached • 25%
Tariffs increased • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Tensions escalate • 25%
Negotiated resolution • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Retaliatory Measures by Canada • 25%
Diplomatic Resolution • 25%
U.S. Withdraws Tariffs • 25%
No Resolution • 25%
No resolution reached • 25%
Partial tariffs imposed • 25%
Tariffs imposed • 25%
Tariffs avoided through agreement • 25%
