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What will be the major change in U.S.-Canada trade policies by the end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Significant tariff reductions • 25%
New trade agreement • 25%
No major changes • 25%
Increased tariffs • 25%
Official announcements from U.S. or Canadian trade departments
Story
Trump Says "Many Canadians Love Being 51st State" After Trudeau Resigns
Jan 6, 2025, 09:31 PM
Following the resignation of Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, U.S. President-elect Donald Trump has reiterated his proposal for Canada to become the 51st state of the United States. In statements on social media, Trump claimed that "Many people in Canada love being the 51st State" and suggested that merging the two nations would eliminate trade deficits, reduce taxes, and enhance security against threats from Russia and China. He asserted that the United States can no longer suffer from "massive trade deficits and subsidies" required to support Canada, adding that "Justin Trudeau knew this, and resigned." Trump also stated that Canada's military is at the disposal of the U.S., and without American support, "Canada would dissolve." He proposed that removing "artificially drawn" borders would create a "great nation" and benefit both countries by eliminating tariffs and lowering taxes.
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Tariffs negotiated • 25%
Trade agreement revised • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Tariffs implemented • 25%
New trade agreement • 25%
Reduced tariffs • 25%
No change • 25%
Increased tariffs • 25%
Trade Policy • 25%
Security Policy • 25%
Immigration Policy • 25%
No Major Change • 25%
New trade agreement • 25%
Improved • 25%
Worsened • 25%
Unchanged • 25%
Significant trade conflict • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Ongoing negotiations • 25%
No agreement, tariffs imposed • 25%
Successful agreement reached • 25%
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Tariffs imposed • 25%
Trade agreement reached • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Tariffs imposed • 25%
No change • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Tariffs lifted • 25%
Dispute unresolved • 25%
U.S. imposes tariff • 25%
Canada agrees to new terms • 25%
Mutual agreement reached • 25%
Negotiated resolution • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Tensions escalate • 25%