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What type of legal challenges will arise from Trump's January 6 pardons by March 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
No challenges • 25%
Federal court challenges • 25%
State court challenges • 25%
Both federal and state court challenges • 25%
Court filings and legal news reports
Story
Trump to Sign Pardons for Nearly 1,600 January 6 Defendants on Inauguration Day
Jan 19, 2025, 04:38 PM
President-elect Donald Trump is set to sign a slate of pardons for individuals involved in the January 6, 2021, U.S. Capitol attack immediately after being sworn into office on Inauguration Day. The pardons, which have already been drafted, are expected to be enacted, marking a significant move that has sparked anticipation among potential recipients and concern among critics. Trump's pledge to review pardons within his first hour in office reflects his alignment with his base, as he has expressed sympathy for nonviolent participants and criticized lengthy sentences. The move could affect nearly 1,600 people charged in connection with the riot, with some defendants already seeking delays in court proceedings in anticipation of clemency.
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Similar markets
Challenges from state level • 25%
No legal challenges • 25%
Challenges from federal level • 25%
Challenges from both levels • 25%
No legal challenges • 25%
Both federal and state challenges • 25%
State court challenge • 25%
Federal court challenge • 25%
No challenges • 25%
Constitutionality • 25%
Procedural • 25%
Political bias • 25%
State court challenge • 25%
Both federal and state challenges • 25%
No challenges • 25%
Federal court challenge • 25%
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Yes • 50%
Pardons overturned • 25%
Pardons upheld • 25%
No legal challenges • 25%
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No legal challenges • 25%
Filed and accepted • 25%
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Pardons Upheld • 25%
Pardons Overturned • 25%
Settlement Reached • 25%
No Legal Action • 25%
Schiff's pardon challenged • 25%
None challenged • 25%
Fauci's pardon challenged • 25%
Cheney's pardon challenged • 25%
