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What type of legal challenges will occur against Trump's clemency for January 6 convicts by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
No challenges • 25%
Federal court challenge • 25%
State court challenge • 25%
Both federal and state challenges • 25%
Court filings or news reports from major media outlets
Story
Trump Expected to Grant Clemency to Over 1,000 Convicted in January 6 Capitol Attack
Jan 6, 2025, 12:09 AM
President-elect Donald Trump is expected to grant clemency to over 1,000 individuals convicted in connection with the January 6, 2021, attack on the US Capitol. This move is anticipated to occur once he takes office, according to reports from Bloomberg.
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No legal challenges • 25%
Filed and dismissed • 25%
Filed and accepted • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No challenges • 25%
Political bias • 25%
Procedural • 25%
Constitutionality • 25%
Federal court challenge • 25%
State court challenge • 25%
Both federal and state challenges • 25%
No legal challenges • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No legal challenges • 25%
Pardons upheld • 25%
Mixed outcomes • 25%
Pardons overturned • 25%
None challenged • 25%
Schiff's pardon challenged • 25%
Cheney's pardon challenged • 25%
Fauci's pardon challenged • 25%
