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How will Trump categorize pardons for January 6 defendants on Inauguration Day 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
All nonviolent participants • 25%
All participants • 25%
Selective pardons • 25%
No pardons • 25%
Official White House press release or executive order publication
Story
Trump to Sign Pardons for Nearly 1,600 January 6 Defendants on Inauguration Day
Jan 19, 2025, 04:38 PM
President-elect Donald Trump is set to sign a slate of pardons for individuals involved in the January 6, 2021, U.S. Capitol attack immediately after being sworn into office on Inauguration Day. The pardons, which have already been drafted, are expected to be enacted, marking a significant move that has sparked anticipation among potential recipients and concern among critics. Trump's pledge to review pardons within his first hour in office reflects his alignment with his base, as he has expressed sympathy for nonviolent participants and criticized lengthy sentences. The move could affect nearly 1,600 people charged in connection with the riot, with some defendants already seeking delays in court proceedings in anticipation of clemency.
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Pardons based on case-by-case review • 25%
Only peaceful protesters pardoned • 25%
No public clarification given • 25%
All non-violent participants pardoned • 25%
No pardons issued • 25%
Includes some felonies • 25%
Nonviolent misdemeanors only • 25%
Includes all categories • 25%
More than 10 • 25%
None • 25%
6-10 • 25%
1-5 • 25%
All pardoned • 25%
Pardons delayed • 25%
Some pardoned • 25%
None pardoned • 25%
Other actions taken • 25%
No pardons issued • 25%
Partial pardons for some • 25%
Full pardons for all involved • 25%
