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Will legal challenges be filed against Trump's January 6 pardons by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Court filings or announcements by legal entities challenging the pardons
Story
Trump Announces Major Pardons for January 6, 2021, Capitol Attack Convictions and Political Prisoners
Jan 7, 2025, 05:07 PM
President-Elect Donald Trump has announced plans to issue major pardons related to the January 6, 2021, Capitol attack. In multiple statements, Trump confirmed his intention to pardon individuals convicted in connection with the events of that day, stating, "I’ll be making major pardons, yes." He emphasized that he would be reviewing the entire situation surrounding the January 6 defendants, indicating a comprehensive approach to the pardons. This announcement comes as part of Trump's broader agenda following his election victory.
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Filed and dismissed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No legal challenges • 25%
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No Legal Action • 25%
Settlement Reached • 25%
Pardons Overturned • 25%
Pardons Upheld • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No legal challenges • 25%
Pardons overturned • 25%
Pardons upheld • 25%
Mixed outcomes • 25%
State court challenge • 25%
Federal court challenge • 25%
Both federal and state challenges • 25%
No challenges • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Pardon overturned • 25%
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Federal court challenge • 25%
State court challenge • 25%
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Political bias • 25%
No challenges • 25%
Constitutionality • 25%
None challenged • 25%
Schiff's pardon challenged • 25%
Cheney's pardon challenged • 25%
Fauci's pardon challenged • 25%