Loading...
Market
Will there be legal challenges to Biden's pardons by Apr 30, 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Filed and accepted • 25%
Filed and dismissed • 25%
No legal challenges • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Court filings or credible news outlets
Story
Biden Considers Preemptive Pardons for Fauci and Cheney, Warns Trump Against 'Settling Scores'
Jan 8, 2025, 04:59 PM
President Joe Biden is considering issuing preemptive pardons to individuals who could be targeted by the incoming Trump administration, including Dr. Anthony Fauci and former Representative Liz Cheney. In an exclusive Oval Office interview with USA Today's Susan Page, Biden revealed he has not yet decided on the pardons but is mulling over the possibility as President-elect Donald Trump prepares to take office. Biden urged Trump during a private meeting to avoid 'settling scores' and expressed concern over potential retribution against his administration's officials and critics of Trump.
View original story
Similar markets
Constitutionality • 25%
Procedural • 25%
Political bias • 25%
No challenges • 25%
No legal challenges • 25%
Both federal and state challenges • 25%
Federal court challenge • 25%
State court challenge • 25%
Schiff's pardon challenged • 25%
Cheney's pardon challenged • 25%
Fauci's pardon challenged • 25%
None challenged • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Pardon overturned • 25%
No legal challenges • 25%
Pardon upheld • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
State court challenge • 25%
Both federal and state challenges • 25%
Federal court challenge • 25%
No challenges • 25%
Pardons overturned • 25%
No legal challenges • 25%
Mixed outcomes • 25%
Pardons upheld • 25%