Loading...
Market
Outcome of legal challenges to January 6 pardons by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Pardons Upheld • 25%
Pardons Overturned • 25%
Settlement Reached • 25%
No Legal Action • 25%
Court rulings or official legal announcements
Story
Trump Promises Major Pardons for January 6 Rioters on Four-Year Anniversary, Over 1,500 Charged
Jan 7, 2025, 05:16 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has announced plans to issue 'major pardons' for individuals convicted in connection with the January 6, 2021, Capitol riot. Speaking at a press conference on the four-year anniversary of the event, Trump indicated that his administration would review the cases, stating, 'We'll be looking at the whole thing, but yes, I'll be making major pardons, yes.' He highlighted perceived injustices, noting that 'people that didn't even walk into the building are in jail right now.' Over 1,500 individuals have been charged in relation to the riot, with more than 1,000 pleading guilty to various offenses.
View original story
Similar markets
Pardons overturned • 25%
Mixed outcomes • 25%
No legal challenges • 25%
Pardons upheld • 25%
Pardon overturned • 25%
No legal challenges • 25%
Pardon upheld • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Pardon Upheld • 25%
Challenge Dismissed • 25%
Pardon Overturned • 25%
No Legal Challenge • 25%
Mixed outcomes • 25%
Majority upheld • 25%
All overturned • 25%
Majority overturned • 25%
Modified • 25%
Upheld • 25%
No legal challenge • 25%
Overturned • 25%
All pardoned • 25%
Some pardoned • 25%
Pardons delayed • 25%
None pardoned • 25%
Filed and accepted • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No legal challenges • 25%
Filed and dismissed • 25%
Overturned • 25%
No Legal Challenge • 25%
Modified • 25%
Upheld • 25%
Both federal and state challenges • 25%
Federal court challenge • 25%
State court challenge • 25%
No challenges • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Cheney's pardon challenged • 25%
Fauci's pardon challenged • 25%
Schiff's pardon challenged • 25%
None challenged • 25%