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What shift will occur in Turkey's foreign policy regarding northern Syria by October 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased military engagement • 25%
Decreased military engagement • 25%
Diplomatic resolution sought • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Official statements from the Turkish government or analysis by foreign policy experts
Story
Turkish Armed Forces Neutralize 20 PKK/YPG Terrorists in Euphrates Shield and Northern Syria
Jan 10, 2025, 08:05 AM
Turkey's Ministry of National Defense announced that the Turkish Armed Forces neutralized 20 PKK/YPG terrorists in the Euphrates Shield region and northern Syria. The operation targeted the specified terrorists in the Fırat Kalkanı area and other parts of northern Syria, reflecting ongoing efforts to combat terrorism in the region.
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Elimination of PKK/YPG • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Countering ISIS • 25%
Cooperation with the U.S. • 25%
Diplomatic normalization • 25%
No significant actions • 25%
Military cooperation agreement • 25%
Trade agreement • 25%
Trade agreement • 25%
Military cooperation agreement • 25%
Humanitarian aid initiative • 25%
Full ambassador appointment • 25%
Diplomatic resolution with SDF • 25%
Increased military engagement • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Consulate not opened and relations worsen • 25%
Consulate opened and diplomatic relations improved • 25%
Consulate opened but relations remain tense • 25%
Improved relations with Syrian government • 25%
Increased tensions with Syrian government • 25%
Other • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Consulate not opened due to diplomatic issues • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Deteriorated relations with the US • 25%
Improved relations with the US • 25%
Political stabilization • 25%
Refugee repatriation • 25%
Counter-terrorism efforts • 25%
Economic cooperation • 25%
Strengthened diplomatic ties • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased economic involvement • 25%
Security cooperation • 25%
Support for Türkiye's actions • 25%
Calls for further negotiations • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Condemnation by international bodies • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Formal alliance or treaty • 25%
Deterioration in relations • 25%
Improved bilateral relations • 25%
Other • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Support • 25%
Neutral • 25%