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How will Turkey's actions in Syria affect its international relations by June 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Improved relations with the US • 25%
Deteriorated relations with the US • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Official diplomatic statements and international relations reports
Story
Turkey Rejects U.S. Ceasefire Claim, Denies Truce with SDF in Northern Syria
Dec 19, 2024, 09:06 AM
Turkish defense officials have denied reports of a ceasefire in northern Syria between Turkey and the US-backed Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF), stating there is "no agreement on truce" and that Turkey does not negotiate with terrorist organizations, suggesting that the U.S. statement was a "slip of the tongue." They emphasized that Turkey will continue preventive measures against terrorist groups and will press until the Kurdish militias lay down their arms. Clashes and mutual shelling have been reported between the SDF and Turkish-backed factions around the Tishrin Dam area in the eastern Aleppo countryside. The Syrian Observatory for Human Rights reported heavy fighting near the dam and in Manbij.
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Condemnation and sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic pressure but no sanctions • 25%
Support for Turkey's actions • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Condemnation without action • 25%
Support for Turkey • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Sanctions imposed on Turkey • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Military cooperation agreement • 25%
Trade agreement • 25%
Diplomatic normalization • 25%
No significant actions • 25%
Relations improve • 25%
Relations remain the same • 25%
Relations worsen • 25%
Other diplomatic outcome • 25%
Condemnation by international bodies • 25%
Support for Türkiye's actions • 25%
Calls for further negotiations • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
Support for Turkey • 25%
Other response • 25%
Increased military engagement • 25%
Diplomatic resolution with SDF • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Improved relations with Syrian government • 25%
Increased tensions with Syrian government • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Support • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Other • 25%
Condemnation by major countries • 25%
Support from some countries • 25%
Neutral stance by major powers • 25%
Increased diplomatic tensions • 25%
Supportive • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Critical • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%