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What will be the change in control of key areas in northern Syria by July 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Turkey gains control • 25%
PKK/YPG gains control • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other groups gain control • 25%
Reports from international news agencies or conflict monitoring groups
Story
Turkish Armed Forces Neutralize 20 PKK/YPG Terrorists in Euphrates Shield and Northern Syria
Jan 10, 2025, 08:05 AM
Turkey's Ministry of National Defense announced that the Turkish Armed Forces neutralized 20 PKK/YPG terrorists in the Euphrates Shield region and northern Syria. The operation targeted the specified terrorists in the Fırat Kalkanı area and other parts of northern Syria, reflecting ongoing efforts to combat terrorism in the region.
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Other outcome • 25%
SDF gains control • 25%
Turkish-backed forces gain control • 25%
Stalemate with no change • 25%
Türkiye gains control • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Joint control established • 25%
SDF retains control • 25%
YPG retains control • 25%
Control remains contested • 25%
Syrian government regains control • 25%
Turkey gains control • 25%
Turkey gains more control • 25%
Stalemate with no change • 25%
Other groups gain control • 25%
PKK/YPG regain control • 25%
Controlled by other factions • 25%
Controlled by YPG • 25%
Controlled by Turkey • 25%
Controlled by Syrian government • 25%
YPG • 25%
Syrian government • 25%
Other factions • 25%
Other Kurdish groups • 25%
Controlled by Kurdish forces • 25%
Controlled by rebel groups • 25%
Other/Unclear control • 25%
Controlled by Syrian government • 25%
Other groups gain control • 25%
Partial control by Syrian government • 25%
Full control by Syrian government • 25%
No change in control • 25%
Kurdish militants • 25%
Other local factions • 25%
Turkey-backed forces • 25%
Syrian government forces • 25%
Rebel forces • 25%
Syrian government • 25%
Other • 25%
Joint control • 25%
Controlled by rebel groups • 25%
Controlled by foreign powers • 25%
Mixed control • 25%
Controlled by new Syrian government • 25%
Stalemate continues • 25%
International intervention • 25%
Government regains control • 25%
Rebels gain significant control • 25%