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What changes will occur in U.S. military alliances by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Withdrawal from NATO • 25%
Strengthened NATO ties • 25%
New military alliances • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Official announcements from the U.S. government or NATO, reported by major news outlets
Story
Trump Calls for Immediate Cease-Fire in Russia's War in Ukraine, Considers NATO Withdrawal as President-Elect
Dec 8, 2024, 07:32 PM
Donald Trump has called for an immediate cease-fire in the ongoing conflict in Ukraine. During a recent statement, the president-elect expressed his openness to the possibility of withdrawing the United States from NATO, highlighting a shift in U.S. foreign policy under his leadership. This marks a significant stance as Trump emphasizes a reduction in U.S. support for Ukraine amidst the war with Russia. His comments come as he prepares to take office, indicating potential changes in the U.S. approach to international alliances and military support.
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New US-Israel agreement • 25%
New Iran-Russia agreement • 25%
New regional coalition • 25%
No significant change • 25%
New alliances formed • 25%
Existing alliances strengthened • 25%
Alliances weakened • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Strengthened alliance with new agreements • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Tensions increase without formal changes • 25%
Formal reduction in military cooperation • 25%
North Korea-Russia alliance • 25%
South Korea strengthens US ties • 25%
New regional alliance forms • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Strengthened alliances with Russia • 25%
New alliances formed • 25%
Weakened alliances • 25%
No change • 25%
U.S. and allies • 25%
European Union • 25%
Asia-Pacific countries • 25%
Other regions • 25%
Iran gains new allies • 25%
Israel gains new allies • 25%
Both gain new allies • 25%
No change in alliances • 25%
Withdrawal from NATO • 25%
Increased support for NATO • 25%
Reduced aid to Ukraine • 25%
Increased aid to Ukraine • 25%
Strengthened relations • 25%
Weakened relations • 25%
New alliances formed • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Strengthened alliance • 25%
Weakened alliance • 25%
No change • 25%
Alliance dissolved • 25%
NATO expands military support to Ukraine • 25%
CSTO strengthens support for Russia • 25%
New military alliance forms • 25%
No change in military alliances • 25%
Increase in presence • 25%
Decrease in presence • 25%
No change • 25%
New strategic deployments • 25%