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How will military alliances involving North Korea change by December 2025?
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Ukraine•North Korean•Russia•Kursk•Ukrainian•Ukrainian Defense Intelligence•94th Brigade•Ukraine conflict•Russian
Resolution / Starting Odds
Strengthened alliances with Russia • 25%
New alliances formed • 25%
Weakened alliances • 25%
No change • 25%
Official military alliance announcements or credible news reports
Story
Ukraine Reports Over 30 North Korean Soldiers Killed or Wounded in Kursk Fighting on December 14-15
Dec 16, 2024, 01:05 PM
Ukraine's military intelligence reported that at least 30 North Korean soldiers were killed or wounded during recent fighting in Russia's Kursk region. The casualties occurred over the weekend, specifically on December 14 and 15, as Ukrainian forces engaged North Korean troops who had been deployed by Russia to support its military operations. The Ukrainian Defense Intelligence indicated that these North Korean soldiers were part of Russia's 94th Brigade, which has been reinforced with fresh troops amid ongoing conflicts. This incident marks a significant moment in the Ukraine conflict, as it is among the first reported casualties of North Korean soldiers fighting alongside Russian forces. Ukraine has made territorial gains in the Kursk region, an area partially occupied by its troops, further complicating the situation on the ground.
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Strengthen conventional forces • 25%
Seek international alliances • 25%
Maintain current stance • 25%
Increase nuclear development • 25%
No significant change in alliances • 25%
Strengthened ties between China and North Korea • 25%
Increased US presence in Asia • 25%
Formation of a new military alliance • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Increased support for Iran • 25%
New alliance against Israel • 25%
Increased support for Israel • 25%
Strengthened NATO ties • 25%
Withdrawal from NATO • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
New military alliances • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
New regional conflict • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Existing alliances weakened • 25%
New military alliances formed • 25%
Existing alliances strengthened • 25%
Enhanced missile testing • 25%
Focus on cyber warfare • 25%
Increased aggression towards South Korea • 25%
No significant change • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Change in deployment strategy • 25%
Increased training • 25%
Unknown strategy • 25%
Decreased cooperation • 25%
Increased cooperation • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
New alliance formation • 25%
Unclear/Other • 25%
Status Quo • 25%
More Diplomatic • 25%
More Aggressive • 25%
Escalation leading to a military conflict • 25%
Improved diplomatic relations in the region • 25%
No significant change in regional security • 25%
Increased military tensions in the region • 25%