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How will military alliances change due to North Korean troop deployment by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
North Korea-Russia alliance • 25%
South Korea strengthens US ties • 25%
New regional alliance forms • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Official announcements from involved countries or credible news agencies
Story
South Korea Monitors North Korean Troop Deployment of 12,000 to Russia, Calls It 'Grave Security Threat'
Oct 18, 2024, 10:24 AM
South Korea is closely monitoring reports that North Korea is sending military personnel to support Russia in its war against Ukraine. The South Korean Ministry of Defense stated on October 16 that it is 'closely' monitoring indications that North Korean troops are directly supporting Russia's war effort in Ukraine amid reports that the Russian military is training North Korean soldiers. South Korean President Yoon Seok-yeol held an emergency security meeting on October 18, considering North Korea's dispatch of soldiers to Russia a 'grave security threat'. South Korean intelligence reports that North Korea has dispatched 12,000 troops, including special operation forces, to support Russia. The South Korean presidential office has called this a 'serious security threat' to both the country and the international community. South Korea is also backing Ukraine's claim that North Korean troops are being dispatched to fight alongside the Russian army in Ukraine.
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Russia forms new alliances • 25%
North Korea forms new alliances • 25%
Existing alliances strengthen • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Strengthened alliances with Russia • 25%
New alliances formed • 25%
Weakened alliances • 25%
No change • 25%
New alliances formed • 25%
Existing alliances strengthened • 25%
Alliances weakened • 25%
No changes • 25%
Closer ties with Russia • 25%
New alliance with China • 25%
Improved relations with South Korea • 25%
No significant change • 25%
NATO increases presence in Eastern Europe • 25%
New sanctions imposed • 25%
Diplomatic talks initiated • 25%
No response • 25%
Withdrawal from NATO • 25%
Strengthened NATO ties • 25%
New military alliances • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Strengthened alliance • 25%
Neutral impact • 25%
Strained relations • 25%
Other • 25%
Strengthened alliance with Russia • 25%
New alliance with another country • 25%
Deterioration of current alliances • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Closer ties with Russia • 25%
Closer ties with China • 25%
Closer ties with another country • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Supportive • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Opposed • 25%
No official statement • 25%
Formal alliance announced • 25%
Increased military cooperation • 25%
No change in current status • 25%
Deterioration of relations • 25%
Formation of a new military alliance • 25%
Increased US presence in Asia • 25%
Strengthened ties between China and North Korea • 25%
No significant change in alliances • 25%