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Market
What action will TikTok take in response to a potential U.S. ban by May 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Relocate headquarters • 25%
Sell U.S. operations • 25%
Legal action • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Official announcements from TikTok or credible news reports
Story
TikTok CEO Shou Zi Chew Seeks Elon Musk's Insight Amid Looming U.S. Ban Over National Security Under Trump Administration
Nov 23, 2024, 04:40 PM
TikTok CEO Shou Zi Chew has reportedly sought advice from Elon Musk regarding the U.S. landscape as the incoming Trump administration approaches. Musk, who owns a competing social media platform, is recognized as a close confidant of President-elect Donald Trump. This outreach comes amid concerns that TikTok may face a ban in the U.S. due to national security issues. Reports indicate that TikTok executives view Musk as a potential conduit to the new administration, highlighting the urgency of the situation as the company navigates its future in the American market.
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Seek Supreme Court intervention • 25%
Negotiate with U.S. government • 25%
Comply with the ban • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Relocate operations • 25%
Seek legal action • 25%
Negotiate with U.S. government • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Complete divestment from TikTok • 25%
Partial divestment or restructuring • 25%
Legal appeal and no divestment • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Increase in lobbying efforts • 25%
Partnerships with U.S. companies • 25%
Operational changes • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Partnership with U.S. company • 25%
Legal action against U.S. government • 25%
Operational changes • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Ban reversed • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Other action • 25%
TikTok complies with data provision • 25%
TikTok initiates legal action • 25%
U.S. government extends deadline • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Ban lifted • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Ban temporarily suspended • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
ByteDance sells TikTok • 25%
ByteDance retains TikTok • 25%
TikTok operations suspended • 25%
Other action • 25%
Ban TikTok • 25%
No action • 25%
Implement restrictions • 25%
Promote TikTok • 25%
Remove TikTok • 33%
Keep TikTok • 33%
No decision by deadline • 34%
Major migration to other platforms • 25%
Significant protests and public outcry • 25%
Minimal impact, users adapt • 25%
Other response • 25%