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Market
How will Apple and Google respond to TikTok ban by January 19, 2025?
2
TikTok•United States•ByteDance•Supreme Court•John Moolenaar•Raja Krishnamoorthi•Apple•Google•Chinese Communist Party
Resolution / Starting Odds
Remove TikTok • 33%
Keep TikTok • 33%
No decision by deadline • 34%
Official statements from Apple and Google or credible news reports
Story
Lawmakers Urge Apple and Google to Remove TikTok as Appeals Court Denies Delay of January 19 Ban
Dec 13, 2024, 04:25 PM
TikTok faces a looming ban in the United States as a January 19 deadline approaches for its parent company, ByteDance, to divest the popular video-sharing app or face removal from app stores. The U.S. Justice Department has requested that the court reject TikTok's bid to delay the law that would require divestiture, and an appeals court has denied TikTok's request to temporarily halt the pending ban, paving the way for a potential Supreme Court showdown. Lawmakers, including Reps. John Moolenaar and Raja Krishnamoorthi, have urged Apple and Google to prepare to remove TikTok from their app stores if ByteDance fails to comply. The ban aims to address national security concerns over alleged ties between ByteDance and the Chinese Communist Party. TikTok is scrambling in federal court to halt the law, arguing that it would eliminate hundreds of jobs and terminate contracts.
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Similar markets
Remove TikTok • 25%
Keep TikTok • 25%
Temporarily suspend TikTok • 25%
Other action • 25%
Remove TikTok • 25%
Do Not Remove TikTok • 25%
Announce Removal Plan • 25%
No Action Announced • 25%
Remove TikTok • 25%
Keep TikTok • 25%
Delay decision • 25%
Other action • 25%
Remove TikTok from app stores • 25%
Keep TikTok available • 25%
Announce plans to remove if no sale • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Support the ban • 25%
Oppose the ban • 25%
Remain neutral • 25%
No statement • 25%
Seek Supreme Court intervention • 25%
Negotiate with U.S. government • 25%
Comply with the ban • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Launch competing app • 25%
Increase lobbying efforts • 25%
Attempt acquisition • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Relocate operations • 25%
Seek legal action • 25%
Negotiate with U.S. government • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Complete divestment from TikTok • 25%
Partial divestment or restructuring • 25%
Legal appeal and no divestment • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Relocate headquarters • 25%
Sell U.S. operations • 25%
Legal action • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Ban blocked • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban is enforced • 25%
Ban is reversed by Trump • 25%
Ban is temporarily blocked by Supreme Court • 25%
Other outcome • 25%