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What will be the outcome of TikTok's potential U.S. ban by Dec 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Ban lifted • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Ban temporarily suspended • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official announcements from TikTok or U.S. government agencies
Story
Trump Pledges to 'Save' TikTok Amid Ban Threat for 150 Million U.S. Users After Signing Order
Nov 16, 2024, 04:30 PM
Following the recent U.S. presidential election, President-elect Donald Trump has pledged to 'save' TikTok, despite previously signing an order to ban the app during his first term. With Trump's return to power, perceptions of TikTok as a national-security threat have shifted, raising hopes for the app's future in the U.S. TikTok faces a potential ban that could disrupt its operations and impact over 150 million American users unless Trump intervenes to reverse the policy. Analysts suggest that the outcome of the election may have provided TikTok with an unexpected ally in Trump, who has garnered significant support from the platform's user base.
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Ban upheld • 25%
Ban overturned • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
No decision by deadline • 25%
Ban is enforced • 25%
Ban is reversed by Trump • 25%
Ban is temporarily blocked by Supreme Court • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
ByteDance sells TikTok's U.S. operations • 25%
TikTok is banned from U.S. app stores • 25%
TikTok wins appeal and continues operations • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Ban overturned • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Ban blocked • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban upheld, TikTok banned • 25%
Ban delayed, temporary reprieve • 25%
Ban overturned, TikTok operations continue • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
TikTok Banned • 25%
TikTok Not Banned • 25%
ByteDance Divests TikTok • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Ban lifted • 25%
Ban delayed • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok banned • 33%
TikTok sold • 33%
No action taken • 33%
Ban remains in place • 33%
Ban is repealed • 33%
Ban is modified • 34%
Supreme Court blocks ban • 25%
Ban upheld, ByteDance divests • 25%
Ban upheld, TikTok banned • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Ban delayed • 25%
Ban lifted • 25%
Divestiture completed • 25%