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Market
What major actions will TikTok take in response to the U.S. ban threat by January 19, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Relocate operations • 25%
Seek legal action • 25%
Negotiate with U.S. government • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Official announcements from TikTok or credible news reporting
Story
President-elect Trump Expected to Halt TikTok Ban Before January Deadline in Policy Reversal
Nov 12, 2024, 06:35 PM
President-elect Donald Trump is expected to attempt to halt the impending TikTok ban in the United States, according to reports from the Washington Post and statements from his allies. This move represents a significant policy reversal for Trump, who previously tried to ban the Chinese-owned social media app in 2020 over national security concerns. During his campaign, Trump promised to 'save TikTok' if elected, citing his own popularity on the platform and noting that banning it would help rivals like Facebook, which he continues to criticize over his 2020 election loss. The app faces a deadline of January 19, 2025, to find a non-China-based owner to continue operations in the U.S. Trump's expected intervention may create tensions with China hawks in his cabinet, who view TikTok as a security threat. Reports also suggest that his granddaughter uses the app, which may have influenced his decision. It remains unclear what specific actions Trump will take to prevent the ban or how this move will align with his administration's broader approach to Chinese tech companies.
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Similar markets
Seek Supreme Court intervention • 25%
Negotiate with U.S. government • 25%
Comply with the ban • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Relocate headquarters • 25%
Sell U.S. operations • 25%
Legal action • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Complete divestment from TikTok • 25%
Partial divestment or restructuring • 25%
Legal appeal and no divestment • 25%
Other actions • 25%
TikTok complies with data provision • 25%
TikTok initiates legal action • 25%
U.S. government extends deadline • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Increase in lobbying efforts • 25%
Partnerships with U.S. companies • 25%
Operational changes • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Divest ownership • 25%
Seek further legal action • 25%
Comply without divestiture • 25%
No action taken • 25%
ByteDance sells TikTok • 25%
ByteDance retains TikTok • 25%
TikTok operations suspended • 25%
Other action • 25%
New regulations imposed • 25%
Fines imposed • 25%
No intervention • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Remove TikTok from app stores • 25%
Keep TikTok available • 25%
Announce plans to remove if no sale • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Sell U.S. Operations • 25%
Cease U.S. Operations • 25%
Win Legal Battle • 25%
Other Action • 25%
Ban TikTok • 25%
Force divestiture • 25%
Impose fines • 25%
No action • 25%
Remove TikTok • 33%
Keep TikTok • 33%
No decision by deadline • 34%