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US demands return of Panama Canal by June 30, 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements or actions from the United States government, confirmed by major news outlets
Story
Trump Threatens to Reclaim Panama Canal Over Fees, Citing China Concerns
Dec 22, 2024, 04:15 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has threatened to demand the return of the Panama Canal to the United States if Panama does not reduce what he considers "ridiculous" and "exorbitant" fees charged to U.S. naval and merchant ships passing through the canal. Speaking at a rally in Arizona, Trump criticized Panama for imposing high tolls on American vessels, describing the situation as a "complete rip-off" and asserting that the canal is vital to U.S. commerce and national security. He referenced concerns over the canal potentially falling into "the wrong hands," alluding to China's growing influence. Trump also noted that the United States built the Panama Canal over a century ago and criticized past administrations, particularly Jimmy Carter's, for "foolishly" relinquishing control. He warned that if the unfair treatment continues, he will demand that the canal be returned to the U.S. "in full, quickly, and without question."
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Similar markets
Demand return of the canal • 25%
Negotiate lower fees • 25%
Increase tariffs on Panama • 25%
No significant action • 25%
U.S. regains control • 25%
Panama retains control with fee reduction • 25%
Joint control agreement • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Demand fee reduction • 25%
Reclaim canal • 25%
Negotiate new treaty • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Reclaim control • 25%
Increase military presence • 25%
Impose economic sanctions • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%